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HOW OLD IS THE UNIVERSE?
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HOW
OLD IS THE UNIVERSE?
The universe is
looking younger every day, it seems. New calculations suggest the universe could be a couple billion years younger
than scientists now estimate, and even younger than suggested by two other
calculations published this year that trimmed hundreds of millions of years
from the age of the cosmos.
Fortunately, the launch of NASA’s Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe
(WMAP) in 2001 and the European Space Agency’s Planck satellite in 2009 changed
all that. Still, astronomers’ attempts during the previous century to narrow
the age estimates makes for a fascinating detective story.
Before WMAP
and Planck, the best approach for determining the universe’s age relied on the
much-debated Hubble constant, a figure that describes the rate at which the
universe is expanding. The
generally accepted age of the universe is 13.7 billion years, based on a Hubble
Constant of 70.To find the Hubble constant, astronomers
observe distant galaxies and measure their distances (by using Cepheid variable
stars or other objects of known intrinsic brightness) as well as how fast they
recede from Earth. They then determine the Hubble constant by dividing the
galaxy’s speed of recession by its distance. Once they decide on a value for
the Hubble constant, they can estimate the maximum age of the universe by
calculating the constant’s reciprocal. The real problem though, is that the
various studies disagree so wildly with each other, to the tune of a billion
years. But they’re not the only ones – the battle lines are commonly drawn by
the methods used. Whenever scientists measure the CMB they arrive at figures
close to 13.8 billion years old and a Hubble constant of around 67 km/s/Mpc, and studying the motions of galaxies usually yields a
younger age and a Hubble constant closer to 74 km/s/Mpc. Obviously something is amiss, and more research is
needed to determine where the truth lies.
Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb, who wasn't part of the
study, said it an interesting and unique way to calculate the universe's
expansion rate, but the large error margins limits its effectiveness until more
information can be gathered."It is difficult to be certain of your conclusions
if you use a ruler that you don't fully understand," Loeb said.
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